Tallaabo geesinimo leh oo loo qaabeeyey dib u soo celinta "madax-bannaanida dhaqaalaha," ayuu ku dhawaaqay madaxweyne Donald Trump April 2, 2025, a 20% tacriifada la soo dejiyo dhammaan badeecadaha Midowga Yurub, oo ay ku jiraan cuntooyinka sida shiilan barafaysan. Tani waxay daba socotaa tallaabooyin ganacsi oo sii kordhaya oo lagu beegsanayo Shiinaha, Mexico, Canada, UK, iyo ciyaartoy kale oo caalami ah. Iyadoo cawaaqibka tooska ah ee dhoofiyeyaasha shiilan ee Yurub ee la qaboojiyey laga yaabo inay u muuqdaan kuwo aad u xun jaleecada hore, sawirka ballaadhan wuxuu muujinayaa muuqaal la yaab leh oo fursad ah.
Isku dheelitir la'aanta ganacsiga shiilan ee Maraykanka
Sida laga soo xigtay Sirdoonka Suuqa DCA, Maraykanka ayaa la soo dejiyay ku dhawaad labanlaab shiilan barafaysan sida ay u dhoofisay 2024. wadarta guud ee dhoofinta ayaa gaadhay 1,488,712 tan, ugu horeyn loogu talagalay Japan, Mexico, Filibiin, Iyo Canada. Yurub, marka la barbardhigo, waxay heshay oo keliya 170 tan Shiilan Mareykan ah sanadkii hore, taasoo muujineysa ku tiirsanaanta ugu yar ee shiilan Mareykanka.
Dhanka kale, Yurub ayaa dhoofin jirtay 463,849 tan oo shiilan barafaysan US 2024-mug aad u weyn ayaa hadda halis ugu jira 20% tarifka. Haddii soo dejinta Maraykanku ay ka guuraan alaab-qeybiyeyaasha Yurub kharashyo badan awgeed, tani waxay carqaladayn kartaa ku dhawaad nus milyan tan ganacsiga transatlantic.
Khatarta: Waayida Helitaanka Suuqyada Maraykanka
Khatarta degdega ah ee tariiftu waxay ku jirtaa Yurub oo laga yaabo inay lumiso marinka mid ka mid ah meelaha ugu faa'iidada badan ee dhoofinta shiilan. Ilaha warshadaha ayaa qiyaasaya in tani ay keeni karto khasaare sanadeed ka badan €300 milyan Processor-yaasha Yurub, oo leh dhoofiyayaal waaweyn sida Belgium, Holland, Iyo Germany ugu daran.
Tariif 20% ah ayaa u tarjumeysa qiimo koror taasoo ka dhigaysa shiilan Yurub inay ka yara tartamaan suuqyada Mareykanka - taasoo macquul ah inay ku riixdo iibsadayaasha Mareykanka alaab-qeybiyeyaal gudaha ah or soosaarayaal shisheeye oo kale sida Canada (kuwaas oo, in kasta oo ay wajahaan tacriifooyinkooda, haddana ku raaxaysanaya hoos u dhaca heerarka canshuurta Maraykanka ee tamarta iyo cuntooyinka qaarkood).
Fursada: U duuduubka Japan iyo Mexico
Waxaase yaab leh, siyaasadda Trump waxaa laga yaabaa inay albaabo cusub furto. Haddii Maraykanku lumiyo saamiga suuqa Japan iyo Mexico-labada goobood ee dhoofinta ugu weyn—soosaarayaasha Yurub ayaa soo geli kara.
- Japan: U dhoofinta Mareykanka ee Japan sanadka 2024 ayaa si aad ah u taagnaa 290,000 tan. Yurub ayaa hore u xardhay meel bannaan oo ka mid ah suuqa Japan, dhoofinta u dhexeeya 115,000 iyo 193,000 tan laga bilaabo 2020 ilaa 2023. Iyada oo la kordhiyo tacriifadaha badeecadaha Maraykanka, mawqifka Yurub ayaa si weyn u xoojin kara, gaar ahaan haddii soo dejinta Japan ay raadsadaan beddelaad joogto ah oo aan tacriif la'aan ah.
- Mexico: 2024, Yurub ayaa dhoofisay 94,000 tan ee shiilan la qaboojiyey ilaa Mexico. Iyadoo Trump cusub 25% qiimaha badeecadaha Mexico, tariifooyinka is-dhaafsiga ah ee shiilan Maraykanka ayaa laga yaabaa. Dhoofintayaasha Yurub ayaa ka faa'iidaysan kara, iyaga oo suurtogal ah in ay ku ballaariyaan raadkooda suuqa oo taariikh ahaan doorbiday shiilan Maraykanka.
Isku darka, Japan iyo Mexico waxay u taagan yihiin awood suuqeed 400,000 oo tan-tiro u dhiganta wax dhoofinta Yurub ee khatarta ah. Haddii si istiraatiji ah loo qabto, isbeddelkan wuu dhici karaa hoos u dhigida saamaynta lumay gelitaanka suuqyada Maraykanka iyo xitaa ballaarinta saamiga guud ee Yurub ee suuqa caalamiga ah.
Kor u kaca tarifka Trump ee 2025 wuxuu soo bandhigayaa khatar soo fool leh iyo fursad naadir ah warshadaha shiilan ee Yurub ee la qaboojiyey si ay u koraan. In kasta oo luminta gelitaanka Maraykanku ay si adag u dhufan doonto, dib-u-habaynta istaraatiijiga ah ee Japan iyo Mexico-halkaas oo shiilan Yurub hore loo yaqaan oo lagu kalsoon yahay-ma aha oo kaliya inay jilciso dharbaaxada laakiin waxay dhalinaysaa faa'iidada saafiga ah. Agri-Dhoofinta, la-taliyayaasha siyaasadda, iyo istiraatijiyadaha ganacsiga waa in ay si degdeg ah u dhaqaaqaan si ay uga faa'iidaystaan furayaashan iyaga oo isu diyaarinaya xiisado ganacsi oo daba dheeraada oo kala dhexeeya Maraykanka
